Introduction

Welcome to the website for BAN430 Forecasting. We will use this website as a supplement to lectures. The website is an ongoing development, so not all subjects will have content yet. Below you will find a detailed (preliminary) lecture plan, link to the textbook and curriculum.

Lecture plan

Monday 12:15-14:00 Wednesday 14:15-16:00
17.08.2026 19.08.2026
Introduction lecture No lecture
24.08.2026 26.08.2026
Time series graphics Time series graphics
31.08.2026 02.09.2026
Time series decomposition Time series decomoposition
07.09.2026 09.09.2026
Forecasters toolbox Forecasters toolbox
14.09.2026 16.09.2026
Regression models Regression models
21.09.2026 23.09.2026
Exponential smoothing Exponential smoothing
28.09.2026 30.09.2026
ARIMA ARIMA
05.10.2026 07.10.2026
Dynamic regression models Dynamic regression models
12.10.2026 14.10.2026
Practical issues Practical issues
19.10.2026 21.10.2026
Volatility forecasting Volatility forecasting
26.10.2026 28.10.2026
Do exercises/old exams Do exercises/old exams
02.11.2026
Summary lecture / old exam
Study period prior to exam
5-hour digital school exam

Literature

FPP3 Third edition

FPP Third edition

We will use the textbook Forecasting: Principles and Practice, 3rd edition, by Hyndman and Athanasopoulos, i.e. the online version which can be accessed at https://otexts.com/fpp3/.

Curriculum

Textbook Hyndman and Athanasopoulos(2021) chapters 1-10 and 13. Additional notes by lecturer on volatility forecasting. All the material on this website.